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Zimbabwe Economic Update 2025: Fostering a Business-Enabling Regulatory Environment for Private Sector Growth


Zimbabwe’s
economy
is
projected
to
rebound
strongly
in
2025
with
an
estimated
6.6%GDP
growth
due
to
robust
growth
in
agriculture,
services,
and
continued
investments
in
mining
and
steel,
according
to
the
new Zimbabwe
Economic
Update: Fostering
a
Business-Enabling
Regulatory
Environment
for
Private
Sector
Growth
,
published
on
December
2,
2025.
This
growth
outpaces
many
peers
in
the
Sub-Saharan
Africa
region.The
medium‑term
growth
also
remains
positive,
anticipated
to
remain
elevated
at
5%
in
2026,
though
fiscal
slippages,
external
shocks,
and
climate-related
disasters
such
as
droughts
still
pose
significant
threats
to
the
current
stability.

Zimbabwe’s
tight
monetary
policy
since
late
2024
has
helped
improve
inflation
dynamics
and
stabilize
the
Zimbabwe
Gold
(ZiG)
currency.
Therefore,
inflation
is
expected
to
moderate
to
single
digits
in
2026
and
decrease
further
to
5%
over
the
medium-term.
Poverty
is
expected
to
decline
gradually
as
growth
recovers,
but
remains
sensitive
to
weather
shocks
and
inflation,
with
rural
households
particularly
exposed
due
to
the
dependence
on
rain-fed
agriculture,
slow
off-farm
jobs,
and
inadequate
social
protection.


“Now
that
the
macroeconomy
is
improving,
the
Government’s
position
in
re-prioritizing
efforts
to
improve
the
ease
of
doing
business
to
improve
Zimbabwe’s
private
sector
growth
and
competitiveness
are
more
than
necessary
to
enhance
the
overall
growth
and
eventually
translate
economic
growth
into
lasting
economic
benefits,” 
says Victor
Steenbergen,
Senior
Country
Economist
for
Zimbabwe.

To
sustain
a
strong
economic
growth
momentum
for
Zimbabwe,
the
ZEU
recommends
the
following:

  • Implementation
    of
    the
    policies
    set
    out
    in
    the
    Economic
    Reforms
    Matrix
    of
    the
    Structured
    Dialogue
    Platform
    (SDP)
    for
    Arrears
    Clearance
    and
    Debt
    Resolution.
    This
    will
    help
    to
    continue
    macroeconomic
    stability
    and
    enhance
    growth.
    Progress
    on
    the
    SDP
    also
    provides
    opportunities
    to
    help
    unlock
    affordable
    external
    credit
    lines
    and
    stimulate
    much-needed
    public
    and
    private
    sector
    investment
    to
    boost
    growth.
  • Continued
    efforts
    to
    anchor
    the
    existing
    price
    and
    exchange
    rate
    stability,
    which
    will
    support
    economic
    growth
    and
    job
    creation
    while
    avoiding
    reversing
    the
    prevailing
    stability
    gains.
  • Sustained
    implementation
    of
    the
    Presidential
    Ease
    of
    Doing
    Business
    Initiative,
    to
    improve
    the
    business
    environment,
    stimulate
    investment,
    and
    promote
    private
    sector-led
    growth
    thereby
    reinforcing
    the
    recent
    gains,
    boosting
    competitiveness,
    and
    translating
    economic
    growth
    into
    lasting
    economic
    benefits.

The
ZEU
special
topic
“Fostering
a
Business-Enabling
Regulatory
Environment
for
Private
Sector
Growth”
analyzes
the
current
business
environment.
Case
studies
of
compliance
requirements
from
several
sub-sectors
show
significant
regulatory
burdens.
Analysis
in
agriculture,
agro-processing,
and
tourism
reveal
that
some
sub-sectors
face
up
to
28
different
legal
and
regulatory
requirements,
often
involving
multiple
government
ministries
and
agencies.
The
mapping
of
sectoral
business
regulations
provides
three
main
findings:


  1. High
    and
    regressive
    fee
    burdens
    :
    Compliance-related
    fees
    and
    levies
    often
    generate
    significant
    monetary
    costs
    for
    firms,
    with
    formal
    requirements
    in
    certain
    sectors
    even
    exceeding
    annual
    revenues
    for
    some
    subsectors.

  2. Inadequate
    transparency
    and
    reliance
    on
    manual
    processes
    :
    Several
    requirements
    continue
    to
    rely
    on
    paper-based
    processes
    that
    also
    require
    physical
    visits
    to
    the
    offices
    of
    relevant
    Ministries,
    Departments,
    and
    Agencies
    (MDAs)
    due
    to
    lack
    of
    readily
    available
    information
    online
    on
    regulatory
    requirements.

  3. Overlapping
    mandates
    :
    Multiple
    MDAs
    often
    issue
    requirements
    and
    conduct
    inspections
    targeting
    the
    same
    public
    policy
    goal,
    creating
    additional
    procedural
    and
    cost
    burdens
    for
    minimal
    public
    policy
    gain.

The
ZEU
recognizes
the
notable
progress
on
the
recent
regulatory
reforms
by
the
Government
of
Zimbabwe
under
the
Presidential
Ease
of
Doing
Business
initiative,
which
among
others
is
addressing
the
current
complex
and
burdensome
regulatory
environment
especially
for
Small
and
Medium
Enterprises
(SMEs).
The
first
phase,
finalized
in
September
2025
with
analytical
support
from
the
World
Bank
Group,
focused
on
the
beef,
dairy,
stockfeed,
and
tourism
sectors,
leading
to
the
reduction
or
elimination
of
several
levies
and
fees.

To
further
support
the
Presidential
Ease
of
Doing
Business,
the
Government
of
Zimbabwe
should
complete
the
regulatory
stocktaking
and
regulatory
simplification
for
the
12
priority
sectors
in
the
next
12
months.
There
is
also
a
need
for
a
more
ambitious
medium-term
agenda
to
foster
Zimbabwe’s
business-enabling
environment,
which
focus
on
three
broad
pillars
of
transparency,
simplification,
and
governance
(Figure
1):


  • Regulatory
    Transparency:
     Create
    a
    comprehensive
    public
    registry
    of
    licenses,
    fees,
    and
    inspection
    requirements
    to
    reduce
    uncertainty
    and
    discretion
    while
    ensuring
    that
    all
    this
    information
    is
    regularly
    updated,
    and
    accessible
    to
    firms
    and
    citizens.

  • Regulatory
    Simplification:
     Consolidate
    overlapping
    procedures
    and
    inspections
    and
    adopt
    risk‑based
    and
    size‑appropriate
    compliance
    regimes
    to
    lower
    burdens
    on
    SMEs.
    This
    streamlining
    will
    help
    lower
    costs
    for
    firms,
    while
    allowing
    regulators
    to
    allocate
    resources
    more
    efficiently.

  • Regulatory
    governance:
     Strengthen
    central
    oversight
    of
    regulatory
    reforms
    and
    shift
    agencies
    towards
    a
    service‑delivery
    mindset.
    These
    reforms
    also
    require
    clarifying
    institutional
    mandates,
    reviewing
    agency
    fee
    structures,
    and
    ensuring
    regulations
    serve
    the
    public
    interest
    rather
    than
    institutional
    revenue
    needs.


Figure
1.
Key
policy
areas
to
foster
a
business-enabling
regulatory
environment

Effective
implementation
of
these
reforms—anchored
on
strong
institutional
leadership
and
improved
administrative
efficiency—can
lower
compliance
costs,
stimulate
firm
growth,
and
lay
the
foundation
for
a
more
competitive
and
inclusive
economy.


Source:



Zimbabwe
Economic
Update:
Strengthening
Macroeconomic
Stability
and
Undertaking
Reforms
to
Unlock
Private
Investment
and
Jobs